electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 52
Texas State House District 52
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 52 →
Current officeholder
Caroline Harris Davila Independent
2024 result
Republican R+12.5
2024 votes cast
111,714
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
59 precincts reported in Texas State House District 52's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48491-2460244 | Republican | R+28.4 | 3,889 |
| 48491-2460437 | Democratic | D+0.5 | 3,669 |
| 48491-2460369 | Republican | R+7.5 | 3,663 |
| 48491-2460267 | Republican | R+13.3 | 3,657 |
| 48491-2460252 | Republican | R+9.3 | 3,649 |
| 48491-2460433 | Democratic | D+1.1 | 3,634 |
| 48491-2460343 | Republican | R+16.7 | 3,613 |
| 48491-2460401 | Republican | R+0.8 | 3,374 |
| 48491-2460372 | Democratic | D+0.3 | 3,331 |
| 48491-2460490 | Democratic | D+0.4 | 3,311 |
| 48491-2460422 | Democratic | D+0.3 | 3,256 |
| 48491-2460245 | Republican | R+33.5 | 3,149 |
| 48491-2460424 | Republican | R+13.2 | 3,037 |
| 48491-2460402 | Republican | R+2.0 | 3,022 |
| 48491-2460420 | Democratic | D+3.7 | 3,012 |
| 48491-2460491 | Democratic | D+6.8 | 3,011 |
| 48491-2460210 | Republican | R+40.5 | 2,942 |
| 48491-2460403 | Democratic | D+2.4 | 2,824 |
| 48491-2460482 | Republican | R+5.0 | 2,578 |
| 48491-2460484 | Democratic | D+1.0 | 2,422 |
All 59 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 52 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 52 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 52 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 52?
Caroline Harris Davila (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 52?
R+12.5 — 48,884 Democratic, 62,830 Republican, of 111,714 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.