electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 45
Texas State House District 45
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 45 →
Current officeholder
Erin Zwiener Independent
2024 result
Democratic D+13.5
2024 votes cast
93,224
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
61 precincts reported in Texas State House District 45's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48209-1050228 | Democratic | D+17.3 | 3,096 |
| 48209-1050435 | Republican | R+0.9 | 2,851 |
| 48209-1050446 | Republican | R+7.8 | 2,739 |
| 48209-1050442 | Democratic | D+0.8 | 2,597 |
| 48209-1050221 | Democratic | D+16.1 | 2,516 |
| 48209-1050314 | Republican | R+25.3 | 2,507 |
| 48209-1050443 | Republican | R+6.8 | 2,452 |
| 48209-1050316 | Democratic | D+32.0 | 2,367 |
| 48209-1050220 | Democratic | D+12.9 | 2,322 |
| 48209-1050336 | Democratic | D+9.8 | 2,304 |
| 48209-1050231 | Democratic | D+18.4 | 2,291 |
| 48209-1050115 | Democratic | D+27.3 | 2,283 |
| 48209-1050371 | Democratic | D+10.6 | 2,247 |
| 48209-1050342 | Republican | R+5.1 | 2,197 |
| 48209-1050205 | Democratic | D+13.6 | 2,125 |
| 48209-1050426 | Democratic | D+3.5 | 2,085 |
| 48209-1050142 | Democratic | D+54.5 | 2,019 |
| 48209-1050206 | Democratic | D+9.4 | 1,960 |
| 48209-1050436 | Republican | R+20.7 | 1,949 |
| 48209-1050203 | Democratic | D+19.7 | 1,920 |
All 61 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 45 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 45 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 45 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 45?
Erin Zwiener (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 45?
D+13.5 — 52,912 Democratic, 40,312 Republican, of 93,224 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.