electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 40
Texas State House District 40
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 40 →
Current officeholder
Terry Canales Independent
2024 result
Democratic D+100.0
2024 votes cast
34,671
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
37 precincts reported in Texas State House District 40's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48215-1080030 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 2,130 |
| 48215-1080151 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,991 |
| 48215-1080158 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,651 |
| 48215-1080069 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,589 |
| 48215-1080052 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,551 |
| 48215-1080090 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,525 |
| 48215-1080143 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,517 |
| 48215-1080068 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,495 |
| 48215-1080004 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,384 |
| 48215-1080053 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,285 |
| 48215-1080104 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,194 |
| 48215-1080109 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,190 |
| 48215-1080035 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,160 |
| 48215-1080106 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,112 |
| 48215-1080152 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,099 |
| 48215-1080154 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,058 |
| 48215-1080031 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 981 |
| 48215-1080239 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 968 |
| 48215-1080115 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 943 |
| 48215-1080214 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 888 |
All 37 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 40 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 40 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 40 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 40?
Terry Canales (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 40?
D+100.0 — 34,671 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 34,671 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.