electionsmcp › races › New York State House District 15
New York State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.
Model New York State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Jake Blumencranz Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
109 precincts reported in New York State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36059-515029 | Republican | R+11.8 | 1,404 |
| 36059-515091 | Republican | R+11.5 | 1,092 |
| 36059-515010 | Republican | R+23.7 | 1,041 |
| 36059-515106 | Democratic | D+19.0 | 1,040 |
| 36059-515017 | Republican | R+33.7 | 1,035 |
| 36059-515093 | Republican | R+2.7 | 993 |
| 36059-515011 | Republican | R+28.6 | 953 |
| 36059-515081 | Republican | R+34.8 | 942 |
| 36059-515097 | Republican | R+19.4 | 902 |
| 36059-515110 | Republican | R+6.3 | 866 |
| 36059-515090 | Republican | R+10.5 | 864 |
| 36059-515014 | Republican | R+45.2 | 863 |
| 36059-515015 | Republican | R+8.9 | 854 |
| 36059-515098 | Republican | R+29.7 | 844 |
| 36059-515115 | Democratic | D+17.2 | 837 |
| 36059-515003 | Republican | R+22.2 | 830 |
| 36059-515086 | Republican | R+28.3 | 830 |
| 36059-515013 | Republican | R+40.5 | 808 |
| 36059-515034 | Republican | R+29.5 | 808 |
| 36059-515068 | Democratic | D+0.9 | 807 |
All 109 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New York State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New York State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents New York State House District 15?
Jake Blumencranz (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New York State House District 15?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.