electionsmcp › races › New York's 15th Congressional District
New York's 15th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.
Model New York's 15th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Ritchie Torres Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+55.4
2024 votes cast
170,488
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Ritchie Torres's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
7.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 751,612 people, median age 34.9, median household income $45,635.
Population
751,612
Median age
34.9
Median household income
$45,635
Bachelor's degree or higher
21.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 9.3% · Black 36.3% · Hispanic 54.1% · Asian 3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
338 precincts reported in New York's 15th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36005-031/81 | Democratic | D+71.8 | 1,174 |
| 36005-028/81 | Democratic | D+73.5 | 1,153 |
| 36005-017/81 | Democratic | D+51.8 | 1,130 |
| 36005-029/81 | Democratic | D+71.9 | 1,096 |
| 36005-026/81 | Democratic | D+57.0 | 970 |
| 36005-042/80 | Democratic | D+32.5 | 969 |
| 36005-019/81 | Democratic | D+69.8 | 941 |
| 36005-037/81 | Democratic | D+50.9 | 935 |
| 36005-030/81 | Democratic | D+67.8 | 934 |
| 36005-043/79 | Democratic | D+66.3 | 908 |
| 36005-027/81 | Democratic | D+70.1 | 892 |
| 36005-023/83 | Democratic | D+82.3 | 882 |
| 36005-049/77 | Democratic | D+68.6 | 870 |
| 36005-022/81 | Democratic | D+64.1 | 869 |
| 36005-017/84 | Democratic | D+59.0 | 868 |
| 36005-021/81 | Democratic | D+65.4 | 859 |
| 36005-034/81 | Democratic | D+68.6 | 857 |
| 36005-041/80 | Democratic | D+18.1 | 856 |
| 36005-043/80 | Democratic | D+24.2 | 854 |
| 36005-020/80 | Republican | R+9.7 | 835 |
All 338 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New York's 15th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 15th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New York's 15th Congressional District in the simulator →