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New York's 12th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.
Model New York's 12th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Jerrold Nadler Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+61.0
2024 votes cast
323,154
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Jerrold Nadler's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 716,964 people, median age 40.6, median household income $147,255.
Population
716,964
Median age
40.6
Median household income
$147,255
Bachelor's degree or higher
80.2%
Race & ethnicity: White 66.3% · Black 4.9% · Hispanic 11.3% · Asian 13%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
374 precincts reported in New York's 12th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36061-063/75 | Democratic | D+83.8 | 1,474 |
| 36061-059/75 | Democratic | D+60.0 | 1,461 |
| 36061-041/69 | Democratic | D+83.1 | 1,385 |
| 36061-060/67 | Democratic | D+71.9 | 1,373 |
| 36061-016/67 | Democratic | D+65.4 | 1,358 |
| 36061-047/67 | Democratic | D+41.4 | 1,335 |
| 36061-070/68 | Democratic | D+67.7 | 1,332 |
| 36061-038/67 | Democratic | D+64.8 | 1,314 |
| 36061-054/76 | Democratic | D+57.2 | 1,299 |
| 36061-008/75 | Democratic | D+64.2 | 1,279 |
| 36061-016/74 | Democratic | D+69.0 | 1,270 |
| 36061-062/73 | Democratic | D+58.6 | 1,261 |
| 36061-020/73 | Democratic | D+51.7 | 1,255 |
| 36061-037/67 | Democratic | D+68.8 | 1,245 |
| 36061-026/67 | Democratic | D+73.3 | 1,241 |
| 36061-045/69 | Democratic | D+84.7 | 1,241 |
| 36061-019/76 | Democratic | D+48.4 | 1,240 |
| 36061-066/68 | Democratic | D+56.0 | 1,236 |
| 36061-036/76 | Democratic | D+55.9 | 1,233 |
| 36061-002/75 | Democratic | D+64.1 | 1,227 |
All 374 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New York's 12th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 12th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New York's 12th Congressional District in the simulator →