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New York's 18th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.
Model New York's 18th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Patrick Ryan Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+14.3
2024 votes cast
362,572
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Patrick Ryan's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 781,059 people, median age 39.5, median household income $93,417.
Population
781,059
Median age
39.5
Median household income
$93,417
Bachelor's degree or higher
35.3%
Race & ethnicity: White 63.3% · Black 10.7% · Hispanic 18.9% · Asian 2.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
582 precincts reported in New York's 18th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36027-Milan ED 1 | Democratic | D+21.4 | 1,515 |
| 36027-Red Hook ED 3 | Democratic | D+34.3 | 1,477 |
| 36111-Lloyd District 3 | Democratic | D+15.8 | 1,438 |
| 36027-Fishkill ED 4 | Democratic | D+7.9 | 1,436 |
| 36027-T/Poughkeepsie W 3 ED 3 | Democratic | D+13.5 | 1,436 |
| 36027-Lagrange ED 6 | Republican | R+2.3 | 1,422 |
| 36027-Red Hook ED 5 | Democratic | D+29.5 | 1,415 |
| 36027-Lagrange ED 1 | Republican | R+8.6 | 1,414 |
| 36027-Union Vale ED 1 | Republican | R+16.9 | 1,410 |
| 36027-Lagrange ED 3 | Democratic | D+0.2 | 1,407 |
| 36111-Saugerties District 8 | Democratic | D+11.0 | 1,401 |
| 36027-Lagrange ED 5 | Republican | R+11.3 | 1,396 |
| 36027-Hyde Park W1 ED 1 | Democratic | D+16.3 | 1,395 |
| 36027-Fishkill ED 6 | Republican | R+6.8 | 1,391 |
| 36027-Union Vale ED 2 | Republican | R+22.7 | 1,372 |
| 36027-Red Hook ED 1 | Democratic | D+42.5 | 1,356 |
| 36027-Hyde Park W 2 ED1 | Democratic | D+9.9 | 1,355 |
| 36027-Pine Plains ED 1 | Democratic | D+4.7 | 1,355 |
| 36027-Lagrange ED 4 | Democratic | D+7.8 | 1,335 |
| 36027-Red Hook ED 4 | Democratic | D+33.8 | 1,335 |
All 582 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New York's 18th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 18th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New York's 18th Congressional District in the simulator →