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New York's 18th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.

Model New York's 18th Congressional District →

New York's 18th Congressional District — highlighted within New York's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+14.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Patrick Ryan Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+14.3

2024 votes cast

362,572

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 781,059 people, median age 39.5, median household income $93,417.

Population

781,059

Median age

39.5

Median household income

$93,417

Bachelor's degree or higher

35.3%

Race & ethnicity: White 63.3% · Black 10.7% · Hispanic 18.9% · Asian 2.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

582 precincts reported in New York's 18th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
36027-Milan ED 1 Democratic D+21.4 1,515
36027-Red Hook ED 3 Democratic D+34.3 1,477
36111-Lloyd District 3 Democratic D+15.8 1,438
36027-Fishkill ED 4 Democratic D+7.9 1,436
36027-T/Poughkeepsie W 3 ED 3 Democratic D+13.5 1,436
36027-Lagrange ED 6 Republican R+2.3 1,422
36027-Red Hook ED 5 Democratic D+29.5 1,415
36027-Lagrange ED 1 Republican R+8.6 1,414
36027-Union Vale ED 1 Republican R+16.9 1,410
36027-Lagrange ED 3 Democratic D+0.2 1,407
36111-Saugerties District 8 Democratic D+11.0 1,401
36027-Lagrange ED 5 Republican R+11.3 1,396
36027-Hyde Park W1 ED 1 Democratic D+16.3 1,395
36027-Fishkill ED 6 Republican R+6.8 1,391
36027-Union Vale ED 2 Republican R+22.7 1,372
36027-Red Hook ED 1 Democratic D+42.5 1,356
36027-Hyde Park W 2 ED1 Democratic D+9.9 1,355
36027-Pine Plains ED 1 Democratic D+4.7 1,355
36027-Lagrange ED 4 Democratic D+7.8 1,335
36027-Red Hook ED 4 Democratic D+33.8 1,335

All 582 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New York's 18th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 18th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open New York's 18th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New York's 18th Congressional District?
Patrick Ryan (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New York's 18th Congressional District?
D+14.3 — 207,106 Democratic, 155,129 Republican, of 362,572 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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