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New York's 21st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.
Model New York's 21st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Elise M. Stefanik Republican
2024 result
Republican R+24.3
2024 votes cast
348,790
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Elise M. Stefanik's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
—estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 772,318 people, median age 42.2, median household income $71,346.
Population
772,318
Median age
42.2
Median household income
$71,346
Bachelor's degree or higher
26.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 88.4% · Black 2.3% · Hispanic 4.3% · Asian 1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
566 precincts reported in New York's 21st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36115-Hartford District 2 | Republican | R+22.8 | 2,661 |
| 36095-Town of Cobleskill 2 LD 1 | Republican | R+5.7 | 1,585 |
| 36113-CITY OF GLENS FALLS Ward 3 District 1 | Democratic | D+21.9 | 1,437 |
| 36043-FRANKFORT 000004 | Republican | R+49.2 | 1,423 |
| 36113-CITY OF GLENS FALLS Ward 2 District 1 | Democratic | D+17.5 | 1,408 |
| 36089-Louisville 1 | Republican | R+22.0 | 1,393 |
| 36113-QUEENSBURY Ward 2 District 2 | Democratic | D+8.4 | 1,337 |
| 36113-BOLTON District 1 | Republican | R+15.4 | 1,302 |
| 36049-Lowville 1 | Republican | R+18.6 | 1,282 |
| 36115-Kingsbury District 9 | Republican | R+33.2 | 1,280 |
| 36033-Moira 1 | Republican | R+43.3 | 1,232 |
| 36043-FRANKFORT 000003 | Republican | R+43.2 | 1,226 |
| 36113-JOHNSBURG District 1 | Republican | R+11.7 | 1,206 |
| 36019-Town of Plattsburgh 6 LD 4 | Democratic | D+10.7 | 1,204 |
| 36043-GERMAN FLATTS 000006 | Republican | R+26.3 | 1,197 |
| 36091-Moreau 4 | Republican | R+18.0 | 1,183 |
| 36095-Town of Schoharie 1 LD 1 | Republican | R+40.0 | 1,160 |
| 36113-LAKE GEORGE District 2 | Republican | R+11.1 | 1,156 |
| 36043-GERMAN FLATTS 000008 | Republican | R+37.5 | 1,147 |
| 36035-Town of Mayfield 1 | Republican | R+55.2 | 1,141 |
All 566 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New York's 21st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 21st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New York's 21st Congressional District in the simulator →