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New York's 21st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.

Model New York's 21st Congressional District →

New York's 21st Congressional District — highlighted within New York's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+24.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Elise M. Stefanik Republican

2024 result

Republican R+24.3

2024 votes cast

348,790

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Elise M. Stefanik's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

not ranked coverage is below the publication floor

estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage37.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 772,318 people, median age 42.2, median household income $71,346.

Population

772,318

Median age

42.2

Median household income

$71,346

Bachelor's degree or higher

26.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 88.4% · Black 2.3% · Hispanic 4.3% · Asian 1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

566 precincts reported in New York's 21st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
36115-Hartford District 2 Republican R+22.8 2,661
36095-Town of Cobleskill 2 LD 1 Republican R+5.7 1,585
36113-CITY OF GLENS FALLS Ward 3 District 1 Democratic D+21.9 1,437
36043-FRANKFORT 000004 Republican R+49.2 1,423
36113-CITY OF GLENS FALLS Ward 2 District 1 Democratic D+17.5 1,408
36089-Louisville 1 Republican R+22.0 1,393
36113-QUEENSBURY Ward 2 District 2 Democratic D+8.4 1,337
36113-BOLTON District 1 Republican R+15.4 1,302
36049-Lowville 1 Republican R+18.6 1,282
36115-Kingsbury District 9 Republican R+33.2 1,280
36033-Moira 1 Republican R+43.3 1,232
36043-FRANKFORT 000003 Republican R+43.2 1,226
36113-JOHNSBURG District 1 Republican R+11.7 1,206
36019-Town of Plattsburgh 6 LD 4 Democratic D+10.7 1,204
36043-GERMAN FLATTS 000006 Republican R+26.3 1,197
36091-Moreau 4 Republican R+18.0 1,183
36095-Town of Schoharie 1 LD 1 Republican R+40.0 1,160
36113-LAKE GEORGE District 2 Republican R+11.1 1,156
36043-GERMAN FLATTS 000008 Republican R+37.5 1,147
36035-Town of Mayfield 1 Republican R+55.2 1,141

All 566 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New York's 21st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 21st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open New York's 21st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New York's 21st Congressional District?
Elise M. Stefanik (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New York's 21st Congressional District?
R+24.3 — 131,960 Democratic, 216,609 Republican, of 348,790 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for New York's 21st Congressional District?
New York's 21st Congressional District is not ranked because reporting-population coverage is 37.0%, below the 50% publication floor. Suppressed counties are not treated as zero.

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