electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › New York's 4th Congressional District

New York's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.

Model New York's 4th Congressional District →

New York's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within New York's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+2.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Laura Gillen Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+2.3

2024 votes cast

375,518

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 772,033 people, median age 40.6, median household income $137,263.

Population

772,033

Median age

40.6

Median household income

$137,263

Bachelor's degree or higher

43.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 49.8% · Black 17.8% · Hispanic 21.8% · Asian 7.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

579 precincts reported in New York's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
36059-214003 Republican R+16.7 1,390
36059-220072 Republican R+27.9 1,281
36059-214048 Republican R+18.6 1,247
36059-219026 Democratic D+14.8 1,192
36059-214049 Republican R+11.7 1,177
36059-214100 Republican R+44.8 1,170
36059-222013 Republican R+16.5 1,170
36059-221041 Republican R+3.6 1,167
36059-214044 Republican R+13.0 1,148
36059-214010 Democratic D+2.1 1,142
36059-219065 Republican R+12.9 1,135
36059-220037 Republican R+25.9 1,132
36059-219029 Republican R+26.7 1,120
36059-214023 Republican R+39.2 1,095
36059-222006 Republican R+12.1 1,095
36059-217034 Democratic D+12.6 1,092
36059-218044 Democratic D+78.5 1,090
36059-214058 Republican R+27.2 1,088
36059-221302 Republican R+15.8 1,084
36059-214307 Republican R+19.2 1,083

All 579 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New York's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open New York's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New York's 4th Congressional District?
Laura Gillen (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New York's 4th Congressional District?
D+2.3 — 191,760 Democratic, 183,157 Republican, of 375,518 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

More races in New York

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →