electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › New York's 17th Congressional District

New York's 17th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.

Model New York's 17th Congressional District →

New York's 17th Congressional District — highlighted within New York's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+5.8 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Michael Lawler Republican

2024 result

Republican R+5.8

2024 votes cast

385,472

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 775,107 people, median age 40.1, median household income $125,810.

Population

775,107

Median age

40.1

Median household income

$125,810

Bachelor's degree or higher

48.7%

Race & ethnicity: White 64.2% · Black 7.9% · Hispanic 20.3% · Asian 4.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

680 precincts reported in New York's 17th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
36027-Pawling ED 3 Republican R+26.3 1,431
36027-East Fishkill ED 3 Republican R+25.7 1,407
36027-East Fishkill ED 12 Republican R+28.4 1,394
36027-Pawling ED 1 Republican R+18.2 1,377
36027-East Fishkill ED 1 Republican R+30.7 1,373
36027-East Fishkill ED 10 Republican R+24.7 1,368
36027-East Fishkill ED 4 Republican R+30.5 1,365
36027-East Fishkill ED 6 Republican R+28.7 1,345
36027-East Fishkill ED 11 Republican R+20.1 1,341
36079-PH 03 Democratic D+44.7 1,331
36027-East Fishkill ED 5 Republican R+37.7 1,311
36119-Town of Cortlandt 28 Democratic D+5.2 1,307
36027-East Fishkill ED 8 Republican R+33.0 1,288
36027-East Fishkill ED 7 Republican R+21.9 1,287
36027-East Fishkill ED 9 Republican R+22.6 1,274
36027-East Fishkill ED 2 Republican R+20.8 1,264
36119-Town of Cortlandt 13 Democratic D+0.8 1,244
36087-Clarkstown 73 (Ward 2) Democratic D+11.2 1,169
36079-CA 09 Republican R+22.7 1,138
36119-Town of Cortlandt 22 Democratic D+27.9 1,131

All 680 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New York's 17th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 17th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open New York's 17th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New York's 17th Congressional District?
Michael Lawler (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New York's 17th Congressional District?
R+5.8 — 175,295 Democratic, 197,844 Republican, of 385,472 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

More races in New York

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →