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New York's 20th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.

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New York's 20th Congressional District — highlighted within New York's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+22.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Paul Tonko Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+22.3

2024 votes cast

363,350

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Paul Tonko's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#350 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

2.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage96.8%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 780,015 people, median age 39.9, median household income $84,757.

Population

780,015

Median age

39.9

Median household income

$84,757

Bachelor's degree or higher

41.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 74.4% · Black 8.9% · Hispanic 6.4% · Asian 5.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

578 precincts reported in New York's 20th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
36083-North Greenbush 2 Democratic D+25.6 1,622
36091-Stillwater 5 Republican R+13.3 1,613
36001-COLONIE ED 6 Democratic D+24.0 1,582
36001-COLONIE ED 3 Democratic D+16.4 1,560
36057-Florida 1 Republican R+26.6 1,525
36001-COLONIE ED 18 Democratic D+21.0 1,438
36001-COLONIE ED 17 Democratic D+17.9 1,404
36001-COLONIE ED 22 Democratic D+46.8 1,401
36057-Amsterdam 3 Republican R+10.8 1,397
36001-COLONIE ED 34 Democratic D+7.4 1,393
36001-GUILDERLAND ED 10 Democratic D+28.8 1,384
36083-North Greenbush 4 Democratic D+2.8 1,382
36091-Ballston 3 Democratic D+4.9 1,375
36001-COLONIE ED 32 Democratic D+13.3 1,370
36001-COLONIE ED 1 Democratic D+22.6 1,364
36001-COLONIE ED 19 Democratic D+25.4 1,348
36001-NEW SCOTLAND ED 3 Democratic D+19.9 1,341
36001-COLONIE ED 26 Democratic D+20.4 1,333
36091-Ballston 6 Democratic D+8.0 1,332
36001-COLONIE ED 2 Democratic D+22.5 1,330

All 578 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New York's 20th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 20th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open New York's 20th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New York's 20th Congressional District?
Paul Tonko (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New York's 20th Congressional District?
D+22.3 — 221,997 Democratic, 141,151 Republican, of 363,350 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for New York's 20th Congressional District?
New York's 20th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 2.8 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 350 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 96.8%.

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