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New York's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New York actually voted.
Model New York's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Andrew R. Garbarino Republican
2024 result
Republican R+19.5
2024 votes cast
338,984
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 774,678 people, median age 39.7, median household income $123,518.
Population
774,678
Median age
39.7
Median household income
$123,518
Bachelor's degree or higher
32.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 55% · Black 10.2% · Hispanic 29% · Asian 3.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
525 precincts reported in New York's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36103-ISLIP ED 016 | Democratic | D+15.5 | 1,927 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 080 | Republican | R+26.6 | 1,876 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 216 | Republican | R+39.5 | 1,841 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 156 | Republican | R+37.7 | 1,759 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 138 | Republican | R+34.9 | 1,690 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 157 | Republican | R+38.7 | 1,678 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 120 | Republican | R+48.1 | 1,604 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 139 | Republican | R+14.5 | 1,390 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 098 | Democratic | D+7.3 | 1,375 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 172 | Republican | R+28.5 | 1,357 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 041 | Republican | R+16.6 | 1,347 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 114 | Republican | R+28.6 | 1,241 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 012 | Republican | R+29.1 | 1,235 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 116 | Republican | R+38.0 | 1,223 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 066 | Republican | R+28.6 | 1,221 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 017 | Democratic | D+33.8 | 1,166 |
| 36103-BROOKHAVEN ED 011 | Republican | R+31.5 | 1,159 |
| 36103-ISLIP ED 152 | Republican | R+35.6 | 1,153 |
| 36059-517034 | Republican | R+35.5 | 1,151 |
| 36103-BABYLON ED 028 | Republican | R+9.5 | 1,147 |
All 525 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New York's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New York's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open New York's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →