electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 33
Missouri State House District 33
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 33 →
Current officeholder
Carolyn Caton Republican
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
16,427
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
21 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 33's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29095-153_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,530 |
| 29095-139_SN 12,14,29 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,252 |
| 29095-147_VB 10,11,19 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,669 |
| 29095-SN-31_SNI-A-BAR-31 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,196 |
| 29095-PR-49_PRAIRIE-49 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,175 |
| 29095-SN-30_SNI-A-BAR-30 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,136 |
| 29095-145_VB 02,03,04,07,09,13 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,087 |
| 29095-PR-50_PRAIRIE-50 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,002 |
| 29095-137_PR 54,55,57,59,60 | Republican | R+100.0 | 921 |
| 29095-PR-52_PRAIRIE-52 | Republican | R+100.0 | 564 |
| 29095-138_PR 56,64 | Republican | R+100.0 | 530 |
| 29095-149_VB 16,17,18 | Republican | R+100.0 | 527 |
| 29095-136_PR 53,63 | Republican | R+100.0 | 487 |
| 29095-146_VB 08,14 | Republican | R+100.0 | 444 |
| 29095-141_SN 34,35,36 | Republican | R+100.0 | 345 |
| 29095-SN-27_SNI-A-BAR-27 | Republican | R+100.0 | 222 |
| 29095-SN-52_SNI-A-BAR-52 | Republican | R+100.0 | 212 |
| 29095-SN-19_SNI-A-BAR-19 | Republican | R+100.0 | 99 |
| 29095-155_PROVISIONAL | Republican | R+100.0 | 25 |
| 29095-SN-26_SNI-A-BAR-26 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2 |
All 21 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 33 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 33 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 33 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 33?
Carolyn Caton (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 33?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 16,427 Republican, of 16,427 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.