electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 38
Missouri State House District 38
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 38 →
Current officeholder
Martin Jacobs Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+2.6
2024 votes cast
20,173
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
13 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 38's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29047-(75) LIB 13 | Democratic | D+0.7 | 2,268 |
| 29047-(69) LIB 06 | Democratic | D+2.0 | 1,933 |
| 29047-(74) LIB 11 | Democratic | D+1.4 | 1,689 |
| 29047-(65) LIB 02 | Democratic | D+8.7 | 1,632 |
| 29047-(73) LIB 10 | Republican | R+0.8 | 1,600 |
| 29047-(70) LIB 07 | Democratic | D+13.3 | 1,595 |
| 29047-(64) LIB 01 | Democratic | D+9.4 | 1,548 |
| 29047-(36) 21 LIB 04 | Republican | R+4.8 | 1,393 |
| 29047-(76) LIB 14 | Democratic | D+1.9 | 1,378 |
| 29047-(40) 21 LIB 08 | Republican | R+9.4 | 1,323 |
| 29047-(67) LIB 04 | Democratic | D+2.2 | 1,315 |
| 29047-(38) 21 LIB 06 | Democratic | D+0.6 | 1,273 |
| 29047-(66) LIB 03 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 1,226 |
All 13 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 38 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 38 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 38 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 38?
Martin Jacobs (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 38?
D+2.6 — 10,344 Democratic, 9,829 Republican, of 20,173 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.