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Missouri's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Mark Alford Republican
2024 result
Republican R+44.7
2024 votes cast
365,696
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 777,788 people, median age 38.5, median household income $65,428.
Population
777,788
Median age
38.5
Median household income
$65,428
Bachelor's degree or higher
24.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 84.7% · Black 4.4% · Hispanic 5.1% · Asian 1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
341 precincts reported in Missouri's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29037-ABSENTEE_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+28.3 | 19,341 |
| 29159-112_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+47.5 | 7,648 |
| 29095-153_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+10.4 | 7,125 |
| 29169-101_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+43.5 | 6,413 |
| 29029-104_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+49.6 | 6,127 |
| 29101-108_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+26.5 | 5,816 |
| 29167-23_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+62.9 | 5,184 |
| 29225-101_ABSENTEE/PROVISIONAL/CENTRAL | Republican | R+58.0 | 4,132 |
| 29015-101_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+49.5 | 3,764 |
| 29083-30_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+48.8 | 3,638 |
| 29107-211_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+35.7 | 3,453 |
| 29029-100_CAMDENTON | Republican | R+57.3 | 3,199 |
| 29095-139_SN 12,14,29 | Republican | R+8.3 | 2,901 |
| 29019-9101112_09&10&11&12 | Republican | R+48.5 | 2,667 |
| 29019-16&39_16&39 | Republican | R+47.4 | 2,633 |
| 29101-103_N&S HOLDEN/KINGSVILLE/ROSE HILL | Republican | R+65.1 | 2,582 |
| 29083-24_BENSON CENTER | Republican | R+55.7 | 2,455 |
| 29101-101_WBG SE-2/WBG NE | Republican | R+25.4 | 2,447 |
| 29101-14_PITTSVILLE | Republican | R+62.7 | 2,425 |
| 29095-SN-41_SNI-A-BAR-41 | Republican | R+31.0 | 2,387 |
All 341 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Missouri's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →