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Missouri State Senate District 31

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.

Model Missouri State Senate District 31 →

Missouri State Senate District 31 — highlighted within Missouri's State Senate districts · 2024: R+37.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Rick Brattin Republican

2024 result

Republican R+37.0

2024 votes cast

88,366

Office

State Senate

Precinct results — 2024 general

61 precincts reported in Missouri State Senate District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
29037-ABSENTEE_ABSENTEE Republican R+24.1 19,089
29101-108_ABSENTEE Republican R+23.7 5,776
29101-103_N&S HOLDEN/KINGSVILLE/ROSE HILL Republican R+63.2 2,559
29101-101_WBG SE-2/WBG NE Republican R+22.4 2,425
29101-14_PITTSVILLE Republican R+61.5 2,407
29037-26_26 WEST PECULIAR CITY Republican R+42.9 2,154
29101-110_WBG SE-1/MONTSERRAT Republican R+31.9 2,078
29101-104_KNOBNOSTER/LOWLAND Republican R+49.7 1,988
29013-4_BUTLER (4) Republican R+56.1 1,926
29101-102_WBG SW/WBG NW Republican R+23.2 1,916
29037-34_34 RAYMORE-WARDS 3 & 4 Republican R+24.4 1,856
29037-47_47 RAYMORE-WARD 1 Republican R+14.9 1,839
29013-1_ADRIAN (1) Republican R+61.3 1,793
29013-10_ABSENTEE Republican R+44.7 1,746
29037-29_29 WINNEBAGO Republican R+36.7 1,605
29037-1231517_1/2/3/15/17 GC Republican R+59.5 1,596
29037-42_42 BELTON-WARD 3 Republican R+18.6 1,292
29037-456_4/5/6 ARCHIE Republican R+55.7 1,206
29037-44_44 BELTON-WARD 4 Republican R+10.7 1,189
29037-21_21 PLEASANT HILL EAST Republican R+47.3 1,188

All 61 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

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Model Missouri State Senate District 31 in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State Senate District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Missouri State Senate District 31 in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Missouri State Senate District 31?
Rick Brattin (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State Senate District 31?
R+37.0 — 27,825 Democratic, 60,541 Republican, of 88,366 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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