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Missouri's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Ann Wagner Republican
2024 result
Republican R+30.6
2024 votes cast
71,768
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Ann Wagner's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
11.9estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 765,299 people, median age 42.1, median household income $99,979.
Population
765,299
Median age
42.1
Median household income
$99,979
Bachelor's degree or higher
49.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 83.5% · Black 3% · Hispanic 3.3% · Asian 4.6%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
589 precincts reported in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29183-1001_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+18.3 | 19,847 |
| 29071-111_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+33.4 | 14,520 |
| 29219-33_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+41.7 | 3,967 |
| 29189-502_MER - 019 | Republican | R+30.2 | 2,363 |
| 29071-102_ST CLAIR OT/DB/PV | Republican | R+52.6 | 2,093 |
| 29189-780_OAK - 015 | Republican | R+37.5 | 2,055 |
| 29183-211_211 | Republican | R+22.9 | 1,997 |
| 29183-206_206 | Republican | R+34.7 | 1,972 |
| 29071-106_UNION WARD 4 & PRAIRIE DELL | Republican | R+43.8 | 1,926 |
| 29189-75_CC - 001 | Democratic | D+26.2 | 1,906 |
| 29183-212_212 | Republican | R+31.1 | 1,889 |
| 29071-91_KRAKOW/CB EAST | Republican | R+52.0 | 1,872 |
| 29183-209_209 | Republican | R+41.0 | 1,817 |
| 29189-784_OAK - 019 | Republican | R+22.9 | 1,795 |
| 29183-314_314 | Republican | R+33.6 | 1,763 |
| 29071-104_SULLIVAN 1, 2, & 3 | Republican | R+47.8 | 1,761 |
| 29183-307_307 | Republican | R+29.8 | 1,734 |
| 29183-210_210 | Republican | R+32.4 | 1,730 |
| 29189-126_CHE - 008 | Republican | R+17.6 | 1,704 |
| 29189-949_WH - 009 | Republican | R+27.1 | 1,702 |
All 589 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →