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Missouri's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.

Model Missouri's 2nd Congressional District →

Missouri's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within Missouri's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+30.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Ann Wagner Republican

2024 result

Republican R+30.6

2024 votes cast

71,768

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 765,299 people, median age 42.1, median household income $99,979.

Population

765,299

Median age

42.1

Median household income

$99,979

Bachelor's degree or higher

49.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 83.5% · Black 3% · Hispanic 3.3% · Asian 4.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

589 precincts reported in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
29183-1001_ABSENTEE Republican R+18.3 19,847
29071-111_ABSENTEE Republican R+33.4 14,520
29219-33_ABSENTEE Republican R+41.7 3,967
29189-502_MER - 019 Republican R+30.2 2,363
29071-102_ST CLAIR OT/DB/PV Republican R+52.6 2,093
29189-780_OAK - 015 Republican R+37.5 2,055
29183-211_211 Republican R+22.9 1,997
29183-206_206 Republican R+34.7 1,972
29071-106_UNION WARD 4 & PRAIRIE DELL Republican R+43.8 1,926
29189-75_CC - 001 Democratic D+26.2 1,906
29183-212_212 Republican R+31.1 1,889
29071-91_KRAKOW/CB EAST Republican R+52.0 1,872
29183-209_209 Republican R+41.0 1,817
29189-784_OAK - 019 Republican R+22.9 1,795
29183-314_314 Republican R+33.6 1,763
29071-104_SULLIVAN 1, 2, & 3 Republican R+47.8 1,761
29183-307_307 Republican R+29.8 1,734
29183-210_210 Republican R+32.4 1,730
29189-126_CHE - 008 Republican R+17.6 1,704
29189-949_WH - 009 Republican R+27.1 1,702

All 589 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Missouri's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Missouri's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Missouri's 2nd Congressional District?
Ann Wagner (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District?
R+30.6 — 23,746 Democratic, 45,728 Republican, of 71,768 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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