electionsmcp › races › Missouri's 8th Congressional District
Missouri's 8th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri's 8th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Jason Smith Republican
2024 result
Republican R+54.4
2024 votes cast
356,064
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Jason Smith's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 771,880 people, median age 40.2, median household income $58,701.
Population
771,880
Median age
40.2
Median household income
$58,701
Bachelor's degree or higher
20.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 87.6% · Black 4% · Hispanic 2.5% · Asian 0.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
394 precincts reported in Missouri's 8th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29099-153_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+25.4 | 26,615 |
| 29031-111_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+45.8 | 15,224 |
| 29187-101_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+44.9 | 11,504 |
| 29161-201_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+36.1 | 5,939 |
| 29091-2_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+63.8 | 5,028 |
| 29023-103_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+61.5 | 4,069 |
| 29207-5_DEXTER | Republican | R+75.2 | 3,943 |
| 29207-26_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+68.5 | 3,850 |
| 29201-101_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+58.5 | 3,180 |
| 29215-59_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+65.1 | 2,919 |
| 29069-107_KENNETT | Republican | R+60.9 | 2,563 |
| 29099-123_WINDSOR INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL | Republican | R+35.5 | 2,538 |
| 29099-122_SECKMAN MIDDLE SCHOOL | Republican | R+35.7 | 2,518 |
| 29065-9_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+64.7 | 2,472 |
| 29157-1906_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+57.4 | 2,452 |
| 29099-141_GEORGE GUFFEY ELEM SCHOOL | Republican | R+22.5 | 2,332 |
| 29186-100_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+29.2 | 2,262 |
| 29031-108_BYRD 3 AND 4 | Republican | R+60.2 | 2,261 |
| 29099-133_JEFFERSON HIGH SCHOOL | Republican | R+50.3 | 2,257 |
| 29099-121_SIMPSON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | Republican | R+27.2 | 2,184 |
All 394 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri's 8th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri's 8th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri's 8th Congressional District in the simulator →