electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 15
Missouri State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Ken Jamison Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+5.9
2024 votes cast
18,161
Office
State House
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 15?
Ken Jamison (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 15?
D+5.9 — 9,618 Democratic, 8,543 Republican, of 18,161 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.