electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 15
Missouri State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Ken Jamison Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+5.9
2024 votes cast
18,161
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
15 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29047-(12) 21 CHOU 12 | Democratic | D+2.5 | 2,003 |
| 29047-(29) 21 GAL 29 | Democratic | D+13.5 | 1,908 |
| 29047-(45) GAL 04 | Democratic | D+11.5 | 1,711 |
| 29047-(52) GAL 11 | Democratic | D+5.2 | 1,684 |
| 29047-(47) GAL 06 | Democratic | D+7.8 | 1,606 |
| 29047-(44) GAL 03 | Democratic | D+2.9 | 1,573 |
| 29047-(46) GAL 05 | Democratic | D+2.8 | 1,564 |
| 29047-(51) GAL 10 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 1,154 |
| 29047-(50) GAL 09 | Republican | R+1.4 | 1,150 |
| 29047-(53) GAL 12 | Democratic | D+3.9 | 1,093 |
| 29047-(48) GAL 07 | Democratic | D+7.2 | 994 |
| 29047-(54) GAL 13 | Democratic | D+17.5 | 950 |
| 29047-(05) 21 GAL 05 | Republican | R+9.5 | 760 |
| 29047-(10) 21 GAL 10 | Democratic | D+33.3 | 9 |
| 29047-(25) 21 GAL 25 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2 |
All 15 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 15?
Ken Jamison (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 15?
D+5.9 — 9,618 Democratic, 8,543 Republican, of 18,161 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.