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Missouri's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Robert F. Onder, Jr. Republican
2024 result
Republican R+26.0
2024 votes cast
392,463
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Robert F. Onder, Jr.'s district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
4.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 775,773 people, median age 39.2, median household income $80,027.
Population
775,773
Median age
39.2
Median household income
$80,027
Bachelor's degree or higher
35.2%
Race & ethnicity: White 85.2% · Black 4.7% · Hispanic 3.5% · Asian 2.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
328 precincts reported in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29183-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+7.5 | 54,356 |
| 29099-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+28.5 | 13,710 |
| 29051-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+23.3 | 11,806 |
| 29027-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+27.6 | 5,739 |
| 29221-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+53.0 | 3,440 |
| 29019-31&32&42 | Republican | R+35.0 | 2,917 |
| 29055-CUBA | Republican | R+60.4 | 2,870 |
| 29131-AB. | Republican | R+57.5 | 2,844 |
| 29019-30&35&43 | Republican | R+26.4 | 2,754 |
| 29183-604 | Republican | R+7.7 | 2,552 |
| 29183-115 | Republican | R+35.4 | 2,464 |
| 29183-709 | Republican | R+16.7 | 2,459 |
| 29055-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+46.4 | 2,430 |
| 29019-4B&21 | Democratic | D+12.4 | 2,363 |
| 29029-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+41.5 | 2,342 |
| 29183-710 | Republican | R+14.7 | 2,222 |
| 29027-HOLTS SUMMIT COUNTY | Republican | R+50.8 | 2,220 |
| 29183-506 | Republican | R+9.9 | 2,158 |
| 29029-HORSESHOE BEND | Republican | R+47.5 | 2,141 |
| 29183-202 | Republican | R+32.8 | 2,116 |
All 328 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →