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Missouri's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.

Model Missouri's 3rd Congressional District →

Missouri's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within Missouri's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+26.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Robert F. Onder, Jr. Republican

2024 result

Republican R+26.0

2024 votes cast

392,463

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 775,773 people, median age 39.2, median household income $80,027.

Population

775,773

Median age

39.2

Median household income

$80,027

Bachelor's degree or higher

35.2%

Race & ethnicity: White 85.2% · Black 4.7% · Hispanic 3.5% · Asian 2.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

328 precincts reported in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
29183-ABSENTEE Republican R+7.5 54,356
29099-ABSENTEE Republican R+28.5 13,710
29051-ABSENTEE Republican R+23.3 11,806
29027-ABSENTEE Republican R+27.6 5,739
29221-ABSENTEE Republican R+53.0 3,440
29019-31&32&42 Republican R+35.0 2,917
29055-CUBA Republican R+60.4 2,870
29131-AB. Republican R+57.5 2,844
29019-30&35&43 Republican R+26.4 2,754
29183-604 Republican R+7.7 2,552
29183-115 Republican R+35.4 2,464
29183-709 Republican R+16.7 2,459
29055-ABSENTEE Republican R+46.4 2,430
29019-4B&21 Democratic D+12.4 2,363
29029-ABSENTEE Republican R+41.5 2,342
29183-710 Republican R+14.7 2,222
29027-HOLTS SUMMIT COUNTY Republican R+50.8 2,220
29183-506 Republican R+9.9 2,158
29029-HORSESHOE BEND Republican R+47.5 2,141
29183-202 Republican R+32.8 2,116

All 328 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Missouri's 3rd Congressional District?
Robert F. Onder, Jr. (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District?
R+26.0 — 138,532 Democratic, 240,620 Republican, of 392,463 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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