electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 21
Missouri State House District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 21 →
Current officeholder
Will Jobe Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+2.7
2024 votes cast
11,532
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
11 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 21's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29095-153_ABSENTEE | Democratic | D+10.6 | 2,637 |
| 29095-100_B1, 02,02,03 | Democratic | D+1.9 | 1,827 |
| 29095-108_B4 02,03,04 | Republican | R+0.4 | 1,394 |
| 29095-B6-01_BLUE 6-01 | Republican | R+9.8 | 1,344 |
| 29095-109_B4 05,08,10 | Democratic | D+4.8 | 1,114 |
| 29095-105_B2 06,07 | Republican | R+2.9 | 1,098 |
| 29095-110_B4 06,07,09 | Democratic | D+8.6 | 943 |
| 29095-B5-03_BLUE 5-03 | Democratic | D+3.6 | 585 |
| 29095-B1-04_BLUE 1-04 | Republican | R+1.8 | 546 |
| 29095-155_PROVISIONAL | Democratic | D+55.0 | 40 |
| 29095-103_B1 10,11 | Republican | D+0.0 | 4 |
All 11 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 21?
Will Jobe (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 21?
D+2.7 — 5,922 Democratic, 5,610 Republican, of 11,532 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.