electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 31
Missouri State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Ron Fowler Republican
2024 result
Republican R+11.3
2024 votes cast
19,166
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
13 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29095-153_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+1.9 | 3,927 |
| 29095-SN-08_SNI-A-BAR-08 | Republican | R+14.0 | 1,873 |
| 29095-SN-10_SNI-A-BAR-10 | Republican | R+8.1 | 1,832 |
| 29095-SN-25_SNI-A-BAR-25 | Republican | R+22.6 | 1,800 |
| 29095-SN-17_SNI-A-BAR-17 | Republican | R+6.8 | 1,609 |
| 29095-SN-24_SNI-A-BAR-24 | Republican | R+13.6 | 1,578 |
| 29095-SN-09_SNI-A-BAR-09 | Republican | R+18.5 | 1,521 |
| 29095-SN-22_SNI-A-BAR-22 | Republican | R+11.1 | 1,350 |
| 29095-SN-21_SNI-A-BAR-21 | Republican | R+8.2 | 1,190 |
| 29095-SN-11_SNI-A-BAR-11 | Republican | R+26.7 | 1,091 |
| 29095-SN-20_SNI-A-BAR-20 | Republican | R+2.6 | 819 |
| 29095-PR-51_PRAIRIE-51 | Republican | R+20.1 | 553 |
| 29095-155_PROVISIONAL | Democratic | D+13.0 | 23 |
All 13 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 31?
Ron Fowler (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 31?
R+11.3 — 8,501 Democratic, 10,665 Republican, of 19,166 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.