electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 30
Missouri State House District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 30 →
Current officeholder
Jonathan Patterson Republican
2024 result
Republican R+9.0
2024 votes cast
21,945
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
13 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 30's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29095-153_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+1.1 | 5,534 |
| 29095-128_PR 26,27 | Republican | R+11.7 | 2,130 |
| 29095-134_PR 45,46 | Republican | R+14.4 | 2,083 |
| 29095-129_PR 29,32 | Republican | R+16.1 | 1,914 |
| 29095-130_PR 30,31 | Republican | R+6.2 | 1,741 |
| 29095-133_PR 41,42 | Republican | R+5.2 | 1,551 |
| 29095-132_PR 37,38 | Republican | R+10.8 | 1,531 |
| 29095-PR-28_PRAIRIE-28 | Republican | R+24.4 | 1,464 |
| 29095-PR-39_PRAIRIE-39 | Republican | R+6.7 | 1,371 |
| 29095-PR-44_PRAIRIE-44 | Republican | R+13.9 | 1,331 |
| 29095-135_PR 47,48 | Republican | R+4.6 | 1,222 |
| 29095-SN-23_SNI-A-BAR-23 | Republican | R+30.9 | 55 |
| 29095-155_PROVISIONAL | Democratic | D+22.2 | 18 |
All 13 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 30?
Jonathan Patterson (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 30?
R+9.0 — 9,854 Democratic, 11,830 Republican, of 21,945 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.