electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 85
Florida State House District 85
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 85 →
Current officeholder
Tobin Rogers "Toby" Overdorf Republican
2024 result
Republican R+14.3
2024 votes cast
110,709
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
27 precincts reported in Florida State House District 85's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12111-129 | Republican | R+11.0 | 8,778 |
| 12111-83 | Democratic | D+1.8 | 7,515 |
| 12111-123 | Republican | R+11.7 | 6,917 |
| 12111-115 | Democratic | D+6.2 | 6,533 |
| 12111-105 | Democratic | D+1.9 | 5,322 |
| 12111-60 | Democratic | D+2.6 | 5,080 |
| 12111-89 | Republican | R+14.5 | 4,928 |
| 12085-25 | Republican | R+42.8 | 4,823 |
| 12111-117 | Republican | R+6.2 | 4,737 |
| 12111-107 | Republican | R+5.3 | 4,689 |
| 12085-26 | Republican | R+41.5 | 4,625 |
| 12085-2 | Republican | R+35.6 | 4,427 |
| 12111-71 | Republican | R+27.5 | 4,387 |
| 12111-81 | Republican | R+8.3 | 4,304 |
| 12085-1 | Republican | R+35.7 | 3,787 |
| 12085-24 | Republican | R+45.4 | 3,482 |
| 12111-85 | Democratic | D+5.7 | 3,431 |
| 12111-39 | Republican | R+12.9 | 3,417 |
| 12111-49 | Republican | R+6.8 | 3,402 |
| 12111-99 | Republican | R+27.1 | 3,050 |
All 27 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 85 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 85 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Florida State House District 85 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 85?
Tobin Rogers "Toby" Overdorf (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 85?
R+14.3 — 47,433 Democratic, 63,276 Republican, of 110,709 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.