electionsmcp › races › Florida State House District 7
Florida State House District 7
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.
Model Florida State House District 7 →
Current officeholder
Jason Shoaf Republican
2024 result
Republican R+54.8
2024 votes cast
91,025
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
97 precincts reported in Florida State House District 7's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12129-2 | Republican | R+43.1 | 5,539 |
| 12129-7 | Republican | R+50.3 | 3,119 |
| 12121-13 | Republican | R+70.5 | 2,852 |
| 12129-1 | Republican | R+44.8 | 2,325 |
| 12029-4 | Republican | R+68.4 | 2,218 |
| 12073-35 | Republican | R+52.8 | 2,060 |
| 12129-12 | Republican | R+42.5 | 2,055 |
| 12121-10 | Republican | R+68.3 | 1,996 |
| 12121-9 | Republican | R+68.0 | 1,993 |
| 12121-4 | Republican | R+62.7 | 1,961 |
| 12029-1 | Republican | R+70.6 | 1,946 |
| 12045-1 | Republican | R+71.2 | 1,704 |
| 12129-11 | Republican | R+38.8 | 1,689 |
| 12121-3 | Republican | R+65.9 | 1,659 |
| 12045-5 | Republican | R+70.2 | 1,562 |
| 12121-7 | Republican | R+66.8 | 1,430 |
| 12129-6 | Republican | R+60.4 | 1,428 |
| 12037-1 | Republican | R+68.9 | 1,410 |
| 12123-14 | Republican | R+77.8 | 1,399 |
| 12037-5 | Republican | R+58.8 | 1,364 |
All 97 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Florida State House District 7 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida State House District 7 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Florida State House District 7 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Florida State House District 7?
Jason Shoaf (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida State House District 7?
R+54.8 — 20,585 Democratic, 70,440 Republican, of 91,025 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.