electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State Senate District 21
Tennessee State Senate District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State Senate District 21 →
Current officeholder
Jeff Yarbro Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
45 precincts reported in Tennessee State Senate District 21's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47037-18-3 | Democratic | D+88.0 | 2,458 |
| 47037-24-5 | Democratic | D+84.9 | 2,154 |
| 47037-20-3 | Democratic | D+76.3 | 2,008 |
| 47037-24-6 | Democratic | D+78.6 | 1,792 |
| 47037-31-2 | Democratic | D+70.2 | 1,705 |
| 47037-16-2 | Democratic | D+77.8 | 1,530 |
| 47037-17-7 | Democratic | D+85.8 | 1,488 |
| 47037-04-01 | Democratic | D+71.5 | 1,475 |
| 47037-20-2 | Democratic | D+79.5 | 1,439 |
| 47037-24-4 | Democratic | D+82.6 | 1,393 |
| 47037-26-4 | Democratic | D+69.5 | 1,342 |
| 47037-31-3 | Democratic | D+62.3 | 1,333 |
| 47037-19-2 | Democratic | D+81.6 | 1,325 |
| 47037-33-1 | Democratic | D+59.5 | 1,319 |
| 47037-25-5 | Democratic | D+75.7 | 1,306 |
| 47037-27-3 | Democratic | D+67.6 | 1,290 |
| 47037-26-3 | Democratic | D+66.9 | 1,217 |
| 47037-25-4 | Democratic | D+80.8 | 1,198 |
| 47037-19-5 | Democratic | D+70.2 | 1,156 |
| 47037-31-4 | Democratic | D+76.5 | 1,048 |
All 45 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State Senate District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State Senate District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State Senate District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State Senate District 21?
Jeff Yarbro (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State Senate District 21?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.