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Tennessee's 7th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.

Model Tennessee's 7th Congressional District →

Tennessee's 7th Congressional District — highlighted within Tennessee's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+21.5 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Matt Van Epps Republican

2024 result

Republican R+21.5

2024 votes cast

322,656

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Matt Van Epps's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#96 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

8.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage88.4%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 777,488 people, median age 35.7, median household income $72,502.

Population

777,488

Median age

35.7

Median household income

$72,502

Bachelor's degree or higher

33.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 69.7% · Black 15.9% · Hispanic 7.9% · Asian 2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

229 precincts reported in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
47187-11-1 Republican R+30.3 4,054
47187-12-1 Republican R+26.9 3,936
47021-6-1 Harpeth Republican R+29.8 3,758
47187-1-1 Republican R+45.7 3,734
47037-20-3 Democratic D+11.5 3,731
47021-3-1 Pleasant View Republican R+50.5 3,726
47037-18-3 Democratic D+51.6 3,597
47187-1-6 Republican R+45.1 3,549
47021-2-1 East Cheatham Republican R+51.4 3,415
47187-9-3 Republican R+46.7 3,414
47125-15A Excell Republican R+36.5 3,199
47037-24-5 Democratic D+38.4 3,159
47147-01-1 East Robertson Republican R+59.2 3,076
47125-19A Rossview Republican R+24.4 3,071
47187-9-6 Republican R+40.7 3,058
47187-10-1 Republican R+17.0 2,980
47147-02-1 Woodall Republican R+43.7 2,975
47037-19-5 Democratic D+2.7 2,966
47147-04-1 Watauga Republican R+51.7 2,961
47125-3B Fedonia Republican R+50.2 2,898

All 229 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee's 7th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Tennessee's 7th Congressional District?
Matt Van Epps (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District?
R+21.5 — 122,764 Democratic, 191,992 Republican, of 322,656 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Tennessee's 7th Congressional District?
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 8.2 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 96 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 88.4%.

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