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Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.

Model Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District →

Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within Tennessee's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+58.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Charles J. "Chuck" Fleischmann Republican

2024 result

Republican R+58.0

2024 votes cast

179,092

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Charles J. "Chuck" Fleischmann's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#118 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

7.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage83.1%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 778,339 people, median age 41, median household income $66,236.

Population

778,339

Median age

41

Median household income

$66,236

Bachelor's degree or higher

28.4%

Race & ethnicity: White 78.5% · Black 10.1% · Hispanic 6% · Asian 1.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

221 precincts reported in Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
47011-2-1 E.L. Ross Republican R+58.9 5,075
47065-Ooltewah Ringgold Republican R+41.7 4,254
47011-1-2 Prospect Republican R+65.2 3,829
47011-7-1 Stuart Republican R+46.4 3,822
47065-Ooltewah Republican R+49.4 3,813
47065-Hurricane Creek Republican R+31.3 3,774
47011-3-2 Senior Center Republican R+53.4 3,756
47065-Wolftever Republican R+27.4 3,725
47011-4-2 Michigan Ave Republican R+65.0 3,699
47065-Valleybrook Republican R+30.7 3,688
47011-2-2 Walker Valley Republican R+67.4 3,635
47065-Signal Mountain B Republican R+16.8 3,602
47065-East Brainerd B Republican R+24.4 3,561
47065-Harrison Bay Republican R+52.3 3,544
47065-Lookout Valley Republican R+46.0 3,389
47065-Hunter Republican R+40.8 3,239
47107-Niota Republican R+67.5 3,120
47065-Ganns Republican R+45.3 3,019
47065-Dallas Republican R+52.8 2,961
47123-01 Republican R+66.3 2,956

All 221 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District?
Charles J. "Chuck" Fleischmann (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District?
R+58.0 — 35,121 Democratic, 138,905 Republican, of 179,092 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District?
Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 7.6 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 118 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 83.1%.

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