electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Tennessee's 4th Congressional District

Tennessee's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.

Model Tennessee's 4th Congressional District →

Tennessee's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Tennessee's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+43.2 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Scott DesJarlais Republican

2024 result

Republican R+43.2

2024 votes cast

313,255

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Scott DesJarlais's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#230 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

5.5estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage80.8%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 784,468 people, median age 37.8, median household income $67,039.

Population

784,468

Median age

37.8

Median household income

$67,039

Bachelor's degree or higher

25%

Race & ethnicity: White 76.5% · Black 8.9% · Hispanic 8.4% · Asian 2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

228 precincts reported in Tennessee's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
47149-9-1 Republican R+36.5 9,756
47149-8-1 Republican R+46.6 9,073
47149-19-1 Republican R+25.0 8,927
47149-14-2 Republican R+28.6 7,691
47149-7-1 Republican R+17.4 7,391
47149-6-2 Republican R+40.1 6,945
47149-4-1 Republican R+29.6 6,515
47149-20-1 Republican R+13.3 6,301
47149-2-1 Republican R+51.0 6,252
47149-3-2 Republican R+33.1 6,249
47149-13-1 Republican R+13.7 5,889
47149-15-1 Republican R+18.5 4,962
47149-21-2 Republican R+1.1 4,166
47149-1-1 Democratic D+18.3 3,996
47149-5-1 Democratic D+8.1 3,905
47149-18-2 Republican R+20.7 3,662
47149-10-2 Republican R+14.7 3,646
47149-15-2 Republican R+27.2 3,346
47149-17-1 Democratic D+16.5 3,330
47149-10-1 Republican R+8.9 3,174

All 228 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Tennessee's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Tennessee's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Tennessee's 4th Congressional District?
Scott DesJarlais (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee's 4th Congressional District?
R+43.2 — 83,832 Democratic, 219,133 Republican, of 313,255 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Tennessee's 4th Congressional District?
Tennessee's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 5.5 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 230 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 80.8%.

More races in Tennessee

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →