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Missouri State Senate District 11

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.

Model Missouri State Senate District 11 →

Missouri State Senate District 11 — highlighted within Missouri's State Senate districts · 2024: R+6.1 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Joe Nicola Republican

2024 result

Republican R+6.1

2024 votes cast

68,409

Office

State Senate

Precinct results — 2024 general

62 precincts reported in Missouri State Senate District 11's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
29095-153_ABSENTEE Democratic D+5.5 14,787
29095-114_B8 01,02 Democratic D+12.2 2,811
29095-112_B6 03,04,05 Republican R+5.5 2,438
29095-SN-41_SNI-A-BAR-41 Republican R+22.7 2,382
29095-SN-38_SNI-A-BAR-38 Republican R+29.0 2,243
29095-SN-39_SNI-A-BAR-39 Republican R+26.2 1,925
29095-143_SN 43, 44,46,53 Republican R+36.8 1,894
29095-100_B1, 02,02,03 Democratic D+1.0 1,878
29095-111_B5 01,02 Democratic D+10.6 1,788
29095-104_B2 02,03,04 Republican R+4.5 1,720
29095-113_B7 04,05 Democratic D+12.6 1,695
29095-144_SN 47,49 Republican R+25.4 1,599
29095-B5-05_BLUE 5-05 Republican R+1.7 1,530
29095-B3-01_BLUE 3-01 Republican R+9.0 1,507
29095-B3-02_BLUE 3-02 Republican R+14.3 1,499
29095-108_B4 02,03,04 Democratic D+6.5 1,426
29095-B6-01_BLUE 6-01 Republican R+8.1 1,384
29095-B7-03_BLUE 7-03 Republican R+0.3 1,342
29095-120_FO 03,04,05,09 Republican R+43.3 1,306
29095-B7-02_BLUE 7-02 Democratic D+4.3 1,281

All 62 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

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Model Missouri State Senate District 11 in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State Senate District 11 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Missouri State Senate District 11 in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Missouri State Senate District 11?
Joe Nicola (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State Senate District 11?
R+6.1 — 32,115 Democratic, 36,294 Republican, of 68,409 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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