electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 86
Texas State House District 86
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 86 →
Current officeholder
John Smithee Independent
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
68,942
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
72 precincts reported in Texas State House District 86's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48381-1910324 | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,222 |
| 48381-1910228 | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,174 |
| 48381-1910230 | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,049 |
| 48381-1910204 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,895 |
| 48381-1910426 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,892 |
| 48381-1910222 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,794 |
| 48381-1910415 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,427 |
| 48381-1910227 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,380 |
| 48381-1910429 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,374 |
| 48381-1910309 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,344 |
| 48381-1910420 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,204 |
| 48381-1910111 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,168 |
| 48381-1910325 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,109 |
| 48381-1910110 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,049 |
| 48381-1910332 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,025 |
| 48381-1910114 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,982 |
| 48381-1910306 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,835 |
| 48381-1910421 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,763 |
| 48381-1910418 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,759 |
| 48381-1910302 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,723 |
All 72 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 86 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 86 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 86 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 86?
John Smithee (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 86?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 68,942 Republican, of 68,942 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.