electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 4
Texas State House District 4
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 4 →
Current officeholder
Keith Bell Independent
2024 result
Republican R+39.3
2024 votes cast
86,527
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
55 precincts reported in Texas State House District 4's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48257-1290007 | Republican | R+4.1 | 3,905 |
| 48257-1290014 | Democratic | D+11.8 | 3,878 |
| 48257-1290034 | Republican | R+19.6 | 3,586 |
| 48257-1290029 | Democratic | D+25.0 | 3,217 |
| 48257-1290027 | Republican | R+32.1 | 3,030 |
| 48257-1290003 | Republican | R+25.4 | 2,990 |
| 48257-1290013 | Republican | R+6.8 | 2,809 |
| 48257-1290035 | Democratic | D+16.3 | 2,799 |
| 48257-1290016 | Republican | R+75.9 | 2,537 |
| 48257-1290036 | Republican | R+28.4 | 2,231 |
| 48257-1290010 | Republican | R+79.0 | 1,969 |
| 48257-1290015 | Republican | R+72.7 | 1,916 |
| 48257-1290001 | Republican | R+44.5 | 1,815 |
| 48213-1072PSS | Republican | R+68.5 | 1,809 |
| 48257-1290018 | Republican | R+59.5 | 1,809 |
| 48213-10701TC | Republican | R+64.2 | 1,767 |
| 48213-1072GBN | Republican | R+63.1 | 1,766 |
| 48257-1290021 | Republican | R+70.4 | 1,723 |
| 48257-1290032 | Republican | R+34.5 | 1,664 |
| 48257-1290006 | Republican | R+66.6 | 1,652 |
All 55 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 4 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 4 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 4 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 4?
Keith Bell (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 4?
R+39.3 — 26,240 Democratic, 60,287 Republican, of 86,527 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.