electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 31
Texas State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Ryan Guillen Independent
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
50,642
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
98 precincts reported in Texas State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48493-2470313 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,537 |
| 48493-2470415 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,323 |
| 48493-2470101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,087 |
| 48493-2470207 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,997 |
| 48493-2470205 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,922 |
| 48493-2470414 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,913 |
| 48493-2470311 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,896 |
| 48493-2470312 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,882 |
| 48493-2470416 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,423 |
| 48493-2470206 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,242 |
| 48427-2140006 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,239 |
| 48427-2140012 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,162 |
| 48427-2140008 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,157 |
| 48427-2140001 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,113 |
| 48427-2140010 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,081 |
| 48493-2470102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,033 |
| 48493-2470103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 992 |
| 48427-2140011 | Republican | R+100.0 | 991 |
| 48505-2530003 | Republican | R+100.0 | 892 |
| 48427-2140002 | Republican | R+100.0 | 891 |
All 98 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 31?
Ryan Guillen (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 31?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 50,642 Republican, of 50,642 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.