electionsmcp › races › Texas State House District 129
Texas State House District 129
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.
Model Texas State House District 129 →
Current officeholder
Dennis Paul Independent
2024 result
Republican R+21.7
2024 votes cast
86,177
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
63 precincts reported in Texas State House District 129's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48201-1011096 | Republican | R+43.5 | 2,860 |
| 48201-1010174 | Republican | R+15.5 | 2,834 |
| 48201-1010655 | Republican | R+7.3 | 2,823 |
| 48201-1010333 | Republican | R+43.0 | 2,791 |
| 48201-1010718 | Republican | R+18.0 | 2,788 |
| 48201-1010568 | Republican | R+21.2 | 2,636 |
| 48201-1010692 | Republican | R+38.4 | 2,471 |
| 48201-1010537 | Republican | R+45.8 | 2,439 |
| 48201-1010307 | Republican | R+26.7 | 2,252 |
| 48201-1010703 | Republican | R+36.3 | 2,228 |
| 48201-1010721 | Republican | R+10.2 | 2,143 |
| 48201-1010416 | Democratic | D+9.0 | 1,958 |
| 48201-1011064 | Republican | R+14.4 | 1,920 |
| 48201-1011116 | Democratic | D+3.2 | 1,907 |
| 48201-1011095 | Republican | R+34.4 | 1,831 |
| 48201-1010092 | Republican | R+16.5 | 1,791 |
| 48201-1010716 | Republican | R+38.3 | 1,733 |
| 48201-1010745 | Republican | R+10.8 | 1,726 |
| 48201-1010699 | Republican | R+19.4 | 1,649 |
| 48201-1010090 | Republican | R+34.3 | 1,647 |
All 63 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Texas State House District 129 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas State House District 129 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Texas State House District 129 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Texas State House District 129?
Dennis Paul (Independent) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas State House District 129?
R+21.7 — 33,758 Democratic, 52,419 Republican, of 86,177 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.