electionsmcp › races › Montana State House District 18
Montana State House District 18
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State House District 18 →
Current officeholder
Llew Jones Republican
2024 result
Republican R+46.9
2024 votes cast
5,423
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
14 precincts reported in Montana State House District 18's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30101-SHELBY CITY | Republican | R+59.8 | 1,185 |
| 30073-24_CONRAD | Republican | R+30.3 | 726 |
| 30073-27_CONRAD | Republican | R+34.3 | 505 |
| 30099-PRECINCT #6 | Republican | R+49.6 | 500 |
| 30073-29_CONRAD RURAL | Republican | R+50.0 | 452 |
| 30101-SUNBURST | Republican | R+62.8 | 403 |
| 30099-PRECINCT #17 | Republican | R+26.7 | 333 |
| 30073-34_VALIER | Republican | R+42.5 | 282 |
| 30073-35_VALIER RURAL | Republican | R+47.1 | 242 |
| 30073-19_BRADY | Republican | R+28.4 | 232 |
| 30101-SHELBY RURAL | Republican | R+48.0 | 173 |
| 30073-23_DUPUYER | Republican | R+56.8 | 148 |
| 30101-KEVIN | Republican | R+71.2 | 125 |
| 30101-DEVON-GALATA | Republican | R+57.3 | 117 |
All 14 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State House District 18 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State House District 18 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State House District 18 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State House District 18?
Llew Jones (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State House District 18?
R+46.9 — 1,441 Democratic, 3,982 Republican, of 5,423 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.