electionsmcp › races › Montana State House District 15
Montana State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Thedis Crowe Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+3.7
2024 votes cast
4,026
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
8 precincts reported in Montana State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30047-PAB 02 HD15 | Republican | R+21.0 | 1,112 |
| 30047-STI 02 HD15 | Republican | R+11.3 | 1,022 |
| 30047-RON 02 HD15 | Republican | R+25.3 | 712 |
| 30035-PCT 08 | Democratic | D+73.6 | 470 |
| 30035-PCT 21C | Democratic | D+73.4 | 248 |
| 30073-20_HEART BUTTE | Democratic | D+74.8 | 198 |
| 30047-SWA 02 HD15 | Republican | R+55.3 | 152 |
| 30035-PCT 13 | Democratic | D+76.8 | 112 |
All 8 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State House District 15?
Thedis Crowe (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State House District 15?
D+3.7 — 2,087 Democratic, 1,939 Republican, of 4,026 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.