electionsmcp › races › Montana State Senate District 46
Montana State Senate District 46
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State Senate District 46 →
Current officeholder
Shannon O'Brien Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+16.5
2024 votes cast
12,580
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
14 precincts reported in Montana State Senate District 46's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30063-EAST MISSOULA 92 | Democratic | D+21.5 | 1,832 |
| 30063-LIBRARY 91 | Democratic | D+56.5 | 1,411 |
| 30047-RON 01 HD91 | Republican | R+11.1 | 1,298 |
| 30063-LIBRARY 92 A | Democratic | D+64.8 | 1,289 |
| 30063-LIBRARY 92 B | Democratic | D+69.5 | 982 |
| 30047-ARL 01 HD91 | Democratic | D+31.3 | 964 |
| 30063-POTOMAC 92 | Republican | R+25.5 | 921 |
| 30063-BONNER 92 | Democratic | D+9.9 | 868 |
| 30047-CHA 01 HD91 | Republican | R+27.4 | 760 |
| 30047-STI 01 HD91 | Republican | R+25.9 | 605 |
| 30063-GRAY WOLF 91 | Democratic | D+14.7 | 539 |
| 30063-SWAN 92 | Republican | R+45.7 | 431 |
| 30089-9-DIXON | Republican | R+17.3 | 358 |
| 30063-SEELEY LAKE 92 | Republican | R+29.8 | 322 |
All 14 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State Senate District 46 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State Senate District 46 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State Senate District 46 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State Senate District 46?
Shannon O'Brien (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State Senate District 46?
D+16.5 — 7,328 Democratic, 5,252 Republican, of 12,580 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.