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Montana U.S. Senate

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.

Model Montana U.S. Senate →

Montana U.S. Senate — Montana · 2024: R+7.1 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Steve Daines Republican

2024 result

Republican R+7.1

2024 votes cast

607,142

Office

U.S. Senate

Montana's U.S. Senators: Steve Daines Republican · Tim Sheehy Republican

Who lives in Montana

Montana is home to about 1,105,072 people, median age 40.2, median household income $69,922.

Population

1,105,072

Median age

40.2

Median household income

$69,922

Bachelor's degree or higher

34.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 84.1% · Black 0.5% · Hispanic 4.4% · Asian 0.8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Montana U.S. Senate in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana U.S. Senate (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Montana U.S. Senate in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Montana U.S. Senate?
Steve Daines (Republican) currently holds this U.S. Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana U.S. Senate?
R+7.1 — 276,252 Democratic, 319,618 Republican, of 607,142 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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