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Montana's 1st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.

Model Montana's 1st Congressional District →

Current officeholder

Ryan K. Zinke Republican

2024 result

Republican R+7.7

2024 votes cast

322,266

Office

U.S. House

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Montana's 1st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Montana's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Montana's 1st Congressional District?
Ryan K. Zinke (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana's 1st Congressional District?
R+7.7 — 143,783 Democratic, 168,529 Republican, of 322,266 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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