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Montana's 1st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana's 1st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Ryan K. Zinke Republican
2024 result
Republican R+7.7
2024 votes cast
322,266
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Ryan K. Zinke's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
3.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 556,623 people, median age 40.1, median household income $70,599.
Population
556,623
Median age
40.1
Median household income
$70,599
Bachelor's degree or higher
38%
Race & ethnicity: White 85.6% · Black 0.4% · Hispanic 4.3% · Asian 1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
344 precincts reported in Montana's 1st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30031-59A | Democratic | D+17.6 | 2,175 |
| 30031-59B | Democratic | D+21.7 | 2,094 |
| 30031-66B | Democratic | D+10.0 | 2,005 |
| 30063-SPRING MEADOWS 99 A | Republican | R+30.1 | 1,946 |
| 30031-66A | Republican | R+45.9 | 1,942 |
| 30031-65B | Republican | R+1.4 | 1,913 |
| 30063-EAST MISSOULA 92 | Democratic | D+25.1 | 1,895 |
| 30031-59D | Democratic | D+13.9 | 1,892 |
| 30031-59C | Democratic | D+47.8 | 1,884 |
| 30063-HELLGATE 98 D | Democratic | D+11.2 | 1,878 |
| 30063-HELLGATE 98 B | Democratic | D+2.9 | 1,873 |
| 30093-PREC_1.1 | Democratic | D+18.4 | 1,870 |
| 30031-60A | Republican | R+17.1 | 1,837 |
| 30031-67A | Republican | R+20.1 | 1,824 |
| 30031-66C | Democratic | D+49.1 | 1,803 |
| 30031-65A | Republican | R+12.8 | 1,770 |
| 30029-PCT 09 | Republican | R+15.9 | 1,744 |
| 30031-62A | Republican | R+14.4 | 1,705 |
| 30031-64A | Republican | R+4.9 | 1,705 |
| 30063-COLD SPRINGS 89 A | Democratic | D+24.2 | 1,693 |
All 344 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
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Model Montana's 1st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →