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Montana's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Troy Downing Republican
2024 result
Republican R+32.0
2024 votes cast
275,424
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 548,449 people, median age 40.4, median household income $69,114.
Population
548,449
Median age
40.4
Median household income
$69,114
Bachelor's degree or higher
31%
Race & ethnicity: White 82.5% · Black 0.7% · Hispanic 4.5% · Asian 0.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
383 precincts reported in Montana's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30105-PCT 34 | Republican | R+53.9 | 2,421 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 4 | Republican | R+32.2 | 1,983 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 20 | Republican | R+26.0 | 1,937 |
| 30013-21B | Republican | R+29.0 | 1,924 |
| 30111-43 | Republican | R+23.0 | 1,924 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 21 | Republican | R+35.7 | 1,922 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 2 | Democratic | D+49.4 | 1,897 |
| 30111-16 | Republican | R+30.7 | 1,876 |
| 30111-44 | Republican | R+22.4 | 1,872 |
| 30013-24B | Republican | R+30.3 | 1,871 |
| 30111-22 | Republican | R+36.9 | 1,869 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 3 | Democratic | D+4.9 | 1,865 |
| 30111-26 | Republican | R+11.9 | 1,848 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 24 | Republican | R+33.6 | 1,844 |
| 30013-26A | Republican | R+40.9 | 1,838 |
| 30013-24A | Republican | R+15.7 | 1,823 |
| 30111-35 | Republican | R+12.2 | 1,820 |
| 30049-PRECINCT 18 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 1,813 |
| 30111-40 | Republican | R+26.6 | 1,810 |
| 30013-21C | Republican | R+28.5 | 1,801 |
All 383 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Montana's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →