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Montana's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.

Model Montana's 2nd Congressional District →

Montana's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within Montana's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+32.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Troy Downing Republican

2024 result

Republican R+32.0

2024 votes cast

275,424

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Troy Downing's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#223 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

5.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage65.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 548,449 people, median age 40.4, median household income $69,114.

Population

548,449

Median age

40.4

Median household income

$69,114

Bachelor's degree or higher

31%

Race & ethnicity: White 82.5% · Black 0.7% · Hispanic 4.5% · Asian 0.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

383 precincts reported in Montana's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
30105-PCT 34 Republican R+53.9 2,421
30049-PRECINCT 4 Republican R+32.2 1,983
30049-PRECINCT 20 Republican R+26.0 1,937
30013-21B Republican R+29.0 1,924
30111-43 Republican R+23.0 1,924
30049-PRECINCT 21 Republican R+35.7 1,922
30049-PRECINCT 2 Democratic D+49.4 1,897
30111-16 Republican R+30.7 1,876
30111-44 Republican R+22.4 1,872
30013-24B Republican R+30.3 1,871
30111-22 Republican R+36.9 1,869
30049-PRECINCT 3 Democratic D+4.9 1,865
30111-26 Republican R+11.9 1,848
30049-PRECINCT 24 Republican R+33.6 1,844
30013-26A Republican R+40.9 1,838
30013-24A Republican R+15.7 1,823
30111-35 Republican R+12.2 1,820
30049-PRECINCT 18 Democratic D+19.3 1,813
30111-40 Republican R+26.6 1,810
30013-21C Republican R+28.5 1,801

All 383 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Montana's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Montana's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Montana's 2nd Congressional District?
Troy Downing (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana's 2nd Congressional District?
R+32.0 — 93,680 Democratic, 181,744 Republican, of 275,424 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Montana's 2nd Congressional District?
Montana's 2nd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 5.6 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 223 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 65.0%.

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