electionsmcp › races › Montana State Senate District 16
Montana State Senate District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State Senate District 16 →
Current officeholder
Jonathan Windy Boy Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+22.2
2024 votes cast
7,456
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
20 precincts reported in Montana State Senate District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30085-18 POPLAR | Democratic | D+51.3 | 710 |
| 30105-PCT 31 | Republican | R+14.2 | 667 |
| 30005-SOUTH BELKNAP 15 | Democratic | D+85.6 | 543 |
| 30085-26 WOLF POINT NORTHSIDE | Republican | R+11.2 | 543 |
| 30041-PRECINCT #28 | Democratic | D+88.1 | 520 |
| 30071-PCT 11 S1 | Republican | R+73.4 | 488 |
| 30005-NORTH BELKNAP 3 | Democratic | D+87.0 | 446 |
| 30005-SOUTH BLAINE 10 | Republican | R+69.8 | 431 |
| 30041-PRECINCT #14 | Republican | R+51.9 | 391 |
| 30005-HARLEM 8 | Democratic | D+32.6 | 365 |
| 30085-27 WEST WOLF POINT RURAL | Democratic | D+45.6 | 364 |
| 30085-24 WOLF POINT SOUTHSIDE | Democratic | D+32.1 | 336 |
| 30085-16 EAST POPLAR RURAL | Democratic | D+59.9 | 314 |
| 30015-ROCKY BOY 5 | Democratic | D+81.3 | 246 |
| 30085-22 EAST & NE WOLF POINT RURAL | Democratic | D+10.4 | 212 |
| 30105-PCT 32 | Republican | R+54.2 | 192 |
| 30085-15 BROCKTON | Democratic | D+77.5 | 187 |
| 30005-SOUTH HARLEM 9 | Democratic | D+76.3 | 186 |
| 30071-PCT 11 S2 | Republican | R+42.7 | 164 |
| 30041-PRECINCT #18 | Democratic | D+52.3 | 151 |
All 20 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State Senate District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State Senate District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State Senate District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State Senate District 16?
Jonathan Windy Boy (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State Senate District 16?
D+22.2 — 4,554 Democratic, 2,902 Republican, of 7,456 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.