electionsmcp › races › Montana State House District 16
Montana State House District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State House District 16 →
Current officeholder
Tyson Running Wolf Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+18.7
2024 votes cast
4,137
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
13 precincts reported in Montana State House District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30035-PCT 09 | Democratic | D+67.8 | 1,255 |
| 30035-PCT 05 | Republican | R+34.4 | 488 |
| 30035-PCT 01 | Republican | R+48.1 | 432 |
| 30035-PCT 02 | Republican | R+22.3 | 355 |
| 30035-PCT 03 | Republican | R+20.0 | 290 |
| 30035-PCT 10 | Democratic | D+57.6 | 255 |
| 30035-PCT 15 | Democratic | D+33.0 | 230 |
| 30035-PCT 12 | Democratic | D+69.5 | 223 |
| 30035-PCT 04 | Republican | R+39.0 | 187 |
| 30035-PCT 19 | Democratic | D+53.9 | 156 |
| 30035-PCT 11 | Democratic | D+27.4 | 135 |
| 30035-PCT 07 | Democratic | D+75.8 | 66 |
| 30035-PCT 06 | Republican | R+63.1 | 65 |
All 13 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State House District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State House District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State House District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State House District 16?
Tyson Running Wolf (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State House District 16?
D+18.7 — 2,455 Democratic, 1,682 Republican, of 4,137 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.