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Virginia's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.
Model Virginia's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Jennifer L. McClellan Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Jennifer L. McClellan's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
13.5estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 790,076 people, median age 37.2, median household income $68,552.
Population
790,076
Median age
37.2
Median household income
$68,552
Bachelor's degree or higher
31.7%
Race & ethnicity: White 41.7% · Black 42.1% · Hispanic 10.1% · Asian 2.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
265 precincts reported in Virginia's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51760-RICHMOND CITY PROVISIONALS | Democratic | D+67.7 | 4,831 |
| 51041-108 - ECOFF | Republican | R+3.0 | 4,267 |
| 51041-211 - NASH | Republican | R+12.0 | 4,227 |
| 51041-414 - CRENSHAW | Democratic | D+2.2 | 4,166 |
| 51041-109 - ELIZABETH SCOTT | Democratic | D+9.5 | 4,129 |
| 51041-103 - ENON | Democratic | D+1.6 | 4,004 |
| 51041-210 - FIVE FORKS | Democratic | D+39.7 | 3,872 |
| 51041-106 - HARROWGATE | Democratic | D+16.6 | 3,518 |
| 51041-303 - MATOACA | Republican | R+0.9 | 3,376 |
| 51041-221 - OXBRIDGE | Democratic | D+15.4 | 3,239 |
| 51041-207 - CHIPPENHAM | Democratic | D+56.9 | 3,208 |
| 51041-104 - NORTH CHESTER | Republican | R+4.0 | 3,086 |
| 51087-215 - LAKESIDE | Democratic | D+36.1 | 3,070 |
| 51041-202 - BEULAH | Democratic | D+40.0 | 3,053 |
| 51149-102 - TEMPLETON | Republican | R+52.4 | 2,979 |
| 51760-402 - FOUR HUNDRED TWO | Democratic | D+63.0 | 2,886 |
| 51149-201 - BLAND | Republican | R+19.8 | 2,876 |
| 51087-202 - BELMONT | Democratic | D+47.3 | 2,874 |
| 51087-517 - SULLIVANS | Democratic | D+57.0 | 2,845 |
| 51760-707 - SEVEN HUNDRED SEVEN | Democratic | D+77.7 | 2,832 |
All 265 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Virginia's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Virginia's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →