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Virginia's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.

Model Virginia's 4th Congressional District →

Virginia's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Virginia's U.S. House districts · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Jennifer L. McClellan Democratic

2024 result

being added

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Jennifer L. McClellan's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#29 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

13.5estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage90.9%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 790,076 people, median age 37.2, median household income $68,552.

Population

790,076

Median age

37.2

Median household income

$68,552

Bachelor's degree or higher

31.7%

Race & ethnicity: White 41.7% · Black 42.1% · Hispanic 10.1% · Asian 2.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

265 precincts reported in Virginia's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
51760-RICHMOND CITY PROVISIONALS Democratic D+67.7 4,831
51041-108 - ECOFF Republican R+3.0 4,267
51041-211 - NASH Republican R+12.0 4,227
51041-414 - CRENSHAW Democratic D+2.2 4,166
51041-109 - ELIZABETH SCOTT Democratic D+9.5 4,129
51041-103 - ENON Democratic D+1.6 4,004
51041-210 - FIVE FORKS Democratic D+39.7 3,872
51041-106 - HARROWGATE Democratic D+16.6 3,518
51041-303 - MATOACA Republican R+0.9 3,376
51041-221 - OXBRIDGE Democratic D+15.4 3,239
51041-207 - CHIPPENHAM Democratic D+56.9 3,208
51041-104 - NORTH CHESTER Republican R+4.0 3,086
51087-215 - LAKESIDE Democratic D+36.1 3,070
51041-202 - BEULAH Democratic D+40.0 3,053
51149-102 - TEMPLETON Republican R+52.4 2,979
51760-402 - FOUR HUNDRED TWO Democratic D+63.0 2,886
51149-201 - BLAND Republican R+19.8 2,876
51087-202 - BELMONT Democratic D+47.3 2,874
51087-517 - SULLIVANS Democratic D+57.0 2,845
51760-707 - SEVEN HUNDRED SEVEN Democratic D+77.7 2,832

All 265 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Virginia's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Virginia's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Virginia's 4th Congressional District?
Jennifer L. McClellan (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Virginia's 4th Congressional District?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Virginia's 4th Congressional District?
Virginia's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 13.5 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 29 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 90.9%.

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