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Virginia's 11th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.
Model Virginia's 11th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
James R. Walkinshaw Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for James R. Walkinshaw's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
1.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 781,648 people, median age 38.8, median household income $158,319.
Population
781,648
Median age
38.8
Median household income
$158,319
Bachelor's degree or higher
67.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 49% · Black 8.7% · Hispanic 14.6% · Asian 22.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
183 precincts reported in Virginia's 11th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51059-FAIRFAX COUNTY PROVISIONALS | Democratic | D+26.2 | 9,370 |
| 51059-332 - COATES | Democratic | D+41.9 | 4,062 |
| 51059-913 - ROCKY RUN | Democratic | D+24.8 | 3,962 |
| 51059-105 - FAIRVIEW | Democratic | D+32.6 | 3,827 |
| 51059-224 - SOUTH LAKES | Democratic | D+55.2 | 3,767 |
| 51059-123 - ROBINSON | Democratic | D+36.1 | 3,740 |
| 51059-916 - WAPLES MILL | Democratic | D+25.0 | 3,715 |
| 51059-903 - CUB RUN | Democratic | D+25.2 | 3,684 |
| 51059-701 - BLAKE | Democratic | D+41.9 | 3,551 |
| 51059-127 - BURKE CENTRE | Democratic | D+37.8 | 3,520 |
| 51059-238 - CAMERON GLEN | Democratic | D+40.4 | 3,504 |
| 51059-726 - MAGARITY | Democratic | D+41.0 | 3,504 |
| 51059-132 - MONUMENT | Democratic | D+38.8 | 3,498 |
| 51059-213 - VIENNA #1 | Democratic | D+39.6 | 3,498 |
| 51059-733 - KILMER | Democratic | D+43.5 | 3,497 |
| 51059-918 - CENTREVILLE | Democratic | D+30.6 | 3,466 |
| 51059-229 - FOX MILL #1 | Democratic | D+33.2 | 3,399 |
| 51059-220 - DOGWOOD | Democratic | D+42.7 | 3,341 |
| 51059-208 - RESTON #1 | Democratic | D+49.9 | 3,338 |
| 51059-919 - GREEN TRAILS | Democratic | D+30.0 | 3,312 |
All 183 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Virginia's 11th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia's 11th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Virginia's 11th Congressional District in the simulator →