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Virginia's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.
Model Virginia's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Robert C. "Bobby" Scott Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Robert C. "Bobby" Scott's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
14.4estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 776,669 people, median age 34.5, median household income $66,051.
Population
776,669
Median age
34.5
Median household income
$66,051
Bachelor's degree or higher
29%
Race & ethnicity: White 39.4% · Black 43.6% · Hispanic 8.5% · Asian 2.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
189 precincts reported in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51710-NORFOLK CITY PROVISIONALS | Democratic | D+49.1 | 3,794 |
| 51700-218 - KILN CREEK | Democratic | D+29.8 | 3,412 |
| 51650-210 - MACHEN | Democratic | D+56.4 | 3,355 |
| 51650-205 - ASBURY | Republican | R+2.3 | 3,269 |
| 51700-320 - WATKINS | Democratic | D+12.1 | 3,264 |
| 51650-212 - BETHEL | Democratic | D+58.5 | 3,260 |
| 51650-208 - KRAFT | Democratic | D+31.3 | 3,100 |
| 51700-107 - RICHNECK | Democratic | D+37.6 | 3,078 |
| 51650-213 - PHILLIPS | Democratic | D+14.9 | 3,064 |
| 51700-203 - CHARLES | Democratic | D+10.9 | 3,048 |
| 51700-112 - KNOLLWOOD MEADOWS | Democratic | D+18.2 | 2,992 |
| 51710-211 - CHRYSLER MUSEUM | Democratic | D+47.1 | 2,869 |
| 51650-104 - COOPER | Democratic | D+74.9 | 2,808 |
| 51710-218 - WILLARD | Democratic | D+30.1 | 2,797 |
| 51740-036 - CHURCHLAND HIGH SCHOOL | Democratic | D+25.6 | 2,781 |
| 51700-219 - DEER PARK | Democratic | D+49.0 | 2,738 |
| 51710-309 - NORVIEW | Democratic | D+55.8 | 2,703 |
| 51710-503 - EAST OCEAN VIEW | Democratic | D+11.7 | 2,693 |
| 51710-311 - SHERWOOD | Democratic | D+40.7 | 2,686 |
| 51650-112 - SMITH | Democratic | D+48.5 | 2,582 |
All 189 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Virginia's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Virginia's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →