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Virginia's 10th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.
Model Virginia's 10th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Suhas Subramanyam Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Suhas Subramanyam's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
1.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 791,262 people, median age 38, median household income $157,857.
Population
791,262
Median age
38
Median household income
$157,857
Bachelor's degree or higher
55.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 53% · Black 8.7% · Hispanic 18.4% · Asian 15.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
204 precincts reported in Virginia's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51107-LOUDOUN COUNTY PROVISIONALS | Democratic | D+3.2 | 4,716 |
| 51153-409 - TYLER | Democratic | D+8.7 | 3,695 |
| 51153-112 - BURKE-NICKENS | Democratic | D+2.8 | 3,439 |
| 51153-407 - HERITAGE HUNT | Democratic | D+0.6 | 3,374 |
| 51153-402 - GRAVELY | Republican | R+20.3 | 3,364 |
| 51107-119 - ARCOLA | Democratic | D+20.9 | 3,275 |
| 51107-615 - HILLSIDE | Democratic | D+17.1 | 3,267 |
| 51107-401 - WEST LOVETTSVILLE | Republican | R+12.2 | 3,241 |
| 51153-410 - MOUNTAIN VIEW | Republican | R+5.4 | 3,240 |
| 51107-509 - TOLBERT | Democratic | D+18.6 | 3,225 |
| 51107-428 - MOUNTAIN VIEW | Republican | R+2.2 | 3,176 |
| 51153-104 - NOKESVILLE | Republican | R+21.3 | 3,155 |
| 51153-111 - LIMESTONE | Democratic | D+2.8 | 3,145 |
| 51153-114 - BRISTOW RUN | Democratic | D+4.5 | 3,144 |
| 51107-623 - WELLER | Democratic | D+22.4 | 3,141 |
| 51061-502 - NEW BALTIMORE | Republican | R+27.1 | 3,130 |
| 51107-511 - EVERGREEN | Democratic | D+6.7 | 3,109 |
| 51107-815 - BELMONT RIDGE | Democratic | D+17.4 | 3,088 |
| 51153-203 - BENNETT | Democratic | D+12.7 | 3,061 |
| 51107-808 - STONE BRIDGE | Democratic | D+15.1 | 3,030 |
All 204 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Virginia's 10th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Virginia's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →