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Virginia's 10th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.
Model Virginia's 10th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Suhas Subramanyam Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 791,262 people, median age 38, median household income $157,857.
Population
791,262
Median age
38
Median household income
$157,857
Bachelor's degree or higher
55.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 53% · Black 8.7% · Hispanic 18.4% · Asian 15.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
204 precincts reported in Virginia's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51107-LOUDOUN COUNTY PROVISIONALS | Democratic | D+3.2 | 4,716 |
| 51153-409 - TYLER | Democratic | D+8.7 | 3,695 |
| 51153-112 - BURKE-NICKENS | Democratic | D+2.8 | 3,439 |
| 51153-407 - HERITAGE HUNT | Democratic | D+0.6 | 3,374 |
| 51153-402 - GRAVELY | Republican | R+20.3 | 3,364 |
| 51107-119 - ARCOLA | Democratic | D+20.9 | 3,275 |
| 51107-615 - HILLSIDE | Democratic | D+17.1 | 3,267 |
| 51107-401 - WEST LOVETTSVILLE | Republican | R+12.2 | 3,241 |
| 51153-410 - MOUNTAIN VIEW | Republican | R+5.4 | 3,240 |
| 51107-509 - TOLBERT | Democratic | D+18.6 | 3,225 |
| 51107-428 - MOUNTAIN VIEW | Republican | R+2.2 | 3,176 |
| 51153-104 - NOKESVILLE | Republican | R+21.3 | 3,155 |
| 51153-111 - LIMESTONE | Democratic | D+2.8 | 3,145 |
| 51153-114 - BRISTOW RUN | Democratic | D+4.5 | 3,144 |
| 51107-623 - WELLER | Democratic | D+22.4 | 3,141 |
| 51061-502 - NEW BALTIMORE | Republican | R+27.1 | 3,130 |
| 51107-511 - EVERGREEN | Democratic | D+6.7 | 3,109 |
| 51107-815 - BELMONT RIDGE | Democratic | D+17.4 | 3,088 |
| 51153-203 - BENNETT | Democratic | D+12.7 | 3,061 |
| 51107-808 - STONE BRIDGE | Democratic | D+15.1 | 3,030 |
All 204 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Virginia's 10th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Virginia's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →