electionsmcp › races › Michigan State Senate District 15
Michigan State Senate District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan State Senate District 15 →
Current officeholder
Jeff Irwin Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
108 precincts reported in Michigan State Senate District 15's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26161-Ypsilanti Township, Precinct 19 | Democratic | D+48.9 | 1,934 |
| 26161-Charter Township of Superior, Precinct 5 | Democratic | D+17.9 | 1,913 |
| 26161-Ypsilanti Township, Precinct 18 | Democratic | D+48.6 | 1,907 |
| 26161-City of Milan, Precinct 1W | Democratic | D+19.0 | 1,904 |
| 26161-Pittsfield Charter Township, Precinct 11 | Democratic | D+30.2 | 1,820 |
| 26161-Pittsfield Charter Township, Precinct 7 | Democratic | D+62.5 | 1,781 |
| 26161-Ypsilanti Township, Precinct 17 | Democratic | D+53.6 | 1,773 |
| 26161-Charter Township of Superior, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+53.0 | 1,720 |
| 26161-Pittsfield Charter Township, Precinct 6 | Democratic | D+35.2 | 1,635 |
| 26161-City of Ann Arbor, Ward 3, Precinct 28 | Democratic | D+74.7 | 1,629 |
| 26161-Pittsfield Charter Township, Precinct 9 | Democratic | D+54.6 | 1,578 |
| 26161-York Township, Precinct 2 | Republican | R+3.4 | 1,568 |
| 26161-City of Ann Arbor, Ward 3, Precinct 25 | Democratic | D+81.8 | 1,567 |
| 26161-Lodi Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+9.0 | 1,552 |
| 26161-Pittsfield Charter Township, Precinct 10 | Democratic | D+64.5 | 1,509 |
| 26161-Manchester Township, Precinct 2 | Republican | R+20.3 | 1,502 |
| 26161-Pittsfield Charter Township, Precinct 12 | Democratic | D+21.0 | 1,484 |
| 26161-City of Ann Arbor, Ward 4, Precinct 37 | Democratic | D+78.2 | 1,482 |
| 26161-Ypsilanti Township, Precinct 9 | Democratic | D+52.3 | 1,461 |
| 26161-City of Saline, Precinct 4 | Democratic | D+30.8 | 1,454 |
All 108 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan State Senate District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan State Senate District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan State Senate District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Michigan State Senate District 15?
Jeff Irwin (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan State Senate District 15?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.