electionsmcp › races › Michigan State House District 21
Michigan State House District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan State House District 21 →
Current officeholder
Kelly Breen Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+12.5
2024 votes cast
48,397
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
35 precincts reported in Michigan State House District 21's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26125-NORTHVILLE CITY 2 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+8.3 | 2,147 |
| 26125-LYON TOWNSHIP 6 Ward 0 | Republican | R+20.5 | 2,143 |
| 26125-FARMINGTON HILLS CITY 24 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+19.6 | 2,128 |
| 26125-FARMINGTON HILLS CITY 16 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+29.7 | 2,103 |
| 26125-LYON TOWNSHIP 9 Ward 0 | Republican | R+4.9 | 2,031 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 2 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+19.0 | 1,923 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 15 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+21.6 | 1,671 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 8 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+12.7 | 1,640 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 6 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+22.0 | 1,626 |
| 26125-LYON TOWNSHIP 8 Ward 0 | Republican | R+25.7 | 1,582 |
| 26125-FARMINGTON HILLS CITY 23 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+15.4 | 1,557 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 21 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+16.5 | 1,499 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 4 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+23.3 | 1,498 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 1 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+11.1 | 1,492 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 16 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+8.7 | 1,467 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 19 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+11.3 | 1,467 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 24 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+1.2 | 1,457 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 18 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+7.5 | 1,450 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 7 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+29.5 | 1,436 |
| 26125-NOVI CITY 9 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+16.1 | 1,395 |
All 35 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan State House District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan State House District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan State House District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Michigan State House District 21?
Kelly Breen (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan State House District 21?
D+12.5 — 26,866 Democratic, 20,834 Republican, of 48,397 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.