electionsmcp › races › Michigan's 5th Congressional District
Michigan's 5th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan's 5th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Tim Walberg Republican
2024 result
Republican R+32.9
2024 votes cast
409,876
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Tim Walberg's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
4.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 773,369 people, median age 42.3, median household income $68,201.
Population
773,369
Median age
42.3
Median household income
$68,201
Bachelor's degree or higher
23.3%
Race & ethnicity: White 85.7% · Black 3.9% · Hispanic 5.3% · Asian 0.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
306 precincts reported in Michigan's 5th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26021-Royalton Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+18.4 | 6,141 |
| 26115-Erie Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+17.4 | 5,161 |
| 26077-Schoolcraft Township Precinct 3 | Democratic | D+23.9 | 4,789 |
| 26021-Chikaming Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+23.2 | 4,450 |
| 26115-Raisinville Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+18.1 | 4,352 |
| 26021-Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+18.7 | 4,347 |
| 26021-Lake Charter Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+16.8 | 4,302 |
| 26115-City of Monroe, Precinct 5 | Democratic | D+24.4 | 4,239 |
| 26021-Buchanan Charter Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+17.4 | 4,236 |
| 26115-Dundee Township, Precinct 3 | Democratic | D+18.1 | 4,182 |
| 26115-Monroe Charter Township, Precinct 5 | Democratic | D+18.3 | 4,136 |
| 26115-Summerfield Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+14.7 | 4,110 |
| 26021-Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 4,062 |
| 26115-City of Monroe, Precinct 4 | Democratic | D+22.9 | 4,008 |
| 26115-Ash Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+16.3 | 3,962 |
| 26115-Bedford Township, Precinct 6 | Democratic | D+19.7 | 3,949 |
| 26115-Berlin Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+17.9 | 3,801 |
| 26115-Raisinville Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+13.5 | 3,736 |
| 26115-Frenchtown Township, Precinct 7 | Democratic | D+18.8 | 3,729 |
| 26115-London Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+16.0 | 3,725 |
All 306 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan's 5th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →