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Michigan's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.

Model Michigan's 2nd Congressional District →

Michigan's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within Michigan's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+33.4 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

John R. Moolenaar Republican

2024 result

Republican R+33.4

2024 votes cast

428,550

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for John R. Moolenaar's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#289 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.9estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage50.1%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 780,291 people, median age 41.3, median household income $66,266.

Population

780,291

Median age

41.3

Median household income

$66,266

Bachelor's degree or higher

22%

Race & ethnicity: White 88.1% · Black 2% · Hispanic 4.8% · Asian 0.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

378 precincts reported in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
26081-Sparta Township, Precinct 2 Democratic D+17.4 5,890
26081-Tyrone Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+16.2 5,704
26123-Brooks Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+16.5 4,897
26081-Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 5 Democratic D+17.9 4,855
26081-Courtland Township, Precinct 2 Democratic D+17.4 4,835
26081-Algoma Township, Precinct 5 Democratic D+22.1 4,799
26081-Sparta Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+22.1 4,789
26081-Bowne Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+13.4 4,497
26081-Lowell Charter Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+18.8 4,475
26081-Courtland Township, Precinct 3 Democratic D+18.8 4,368
26123-Croton Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+16.4 4,303
26081-Lowell Charter Township, Precinct 2 Democratic D+24.3 4,283
26081-Courtland Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+20.5 4,035
26081-Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 6 Democratic D+21.7 4,013
26035-Surrey Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+17.2 3,899
26081-Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 3 Democratic D+17.7 3,861
26123-Grant Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+13.4 3,720
26057-City of St. Louis, Precinct 1 Democratic D+19.2 3,706
26081-Caledonia Charter Township, Precinct 2 Democratic D+17.7 3,679
26035-Grant Township, Precinct 1 Democratic D+14.8 3,613

All 378 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Michigan's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Michigan's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Michigan's 2nd Congressional District?
John R. Moolenaar (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District?
R+33.4 — 135,824 Democratic, 279,167 Republican, of 428,550 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Michigan's 2nd Congressional District?
Michigan's 2nd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.9 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 289 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 50.1%.

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